Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) traded slightly lower on Friday, but as a new report by Bybit and Block Scholes points out, the top coins are holding onto recent gains amid signals of a market recovery.
Many other altcoins have also maintained the upward structure after Monday’s crash, with momentum likely to be anticipated if tailwinds materialize.
BTC, the bellwether of the industry, has its price currently at $91,232, while ETH trades at $3,124.
Crypto market shows early signs of recovery: Bybit & Block Scholes report
A newly released joint report from leading cryptocurrency exchange Bybit and analytics firm Block Scholes outlines the fragile yet promising rebound in market sentiment.
The analysis draws on proprietary data from Bybit’s trading platform and Block Scholes’ advanced sentiment modeling to paint a picture of cautious resurgence.
The report notes that retail investor participation has rebounded, with spot trading volumes for BTC and ETH pairs increasing. Glassnode says most losses have been for recent buyers.
$BTC‘s drawdown has triggered the largest spike in realized losses since the FTX collapse in late 2022.
STHs account for the bulk of the losses, while LTH losses stay comparatively contained, indicating that the stress is largely on recent buyers.
📉glassno.de/4iBirIe
Block Scholes’ sentiment algorithm, which aggregates social media buzz, Google Trends, and exchange inflows, detected a 10% reduction in negative keyword associations tied to “crypto crash” and “regulation fears.”
“While the market remains sensitive to external shocks, these metrics suggest a bottoming process is underway,” stated Dr. Elena Vasquez, lead analyst at Block Scholes.
As such, analysts are cautioning against over-optimism.
This is down to the fact that the macro picture is very much in play. Per the report, sustained recovery across risk assets hinges on factors such as the Federal Reserve rate cut and policy communications. The regulatory landscape is also crucial.
Nonetheless, it forecasts a potential 10-15% appreciation in BTC by year-end if sentiment holds above 35 on the Fear & Greed scale.
Bitcoin, Ethereum at key levels
BTC and ETH are both looking to consolidate their gains after recent bloodbaths.
Currently, both assets are testing pivotal technical thresholds. Movement in either direction will significantly dictate the trajectory of the broader crypto market.
Bitcoin’s current perch near $91k aligns with its 50-day exponential moving average (EMA).
The price level has historically acted as dynamic support. Ethereum, meanwhile, hovers above $3,100. Bulls are flirting with the upper boundary of a multi-month ascending triangle pattern.
Analysts see a bounce to above $100k and $3,500 as key to the immediate sentiment. Dips could be catastrophic to short-term targets.
“Most Bitcoin on-chain indicators are bearish. Without macro liquidity, we enter a bear cycle,” Ki Young Ju, chief executive officer of CryptoQuant, said.
Ju shared the sentiment via X, with this coming as Bitcoin struggled below $90k and ETH below $3k. Recovery above the levels gives bulls a slight advantage. However, weakness dominates, and bears could yet pounce.
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